Ordinary-Scallion
0xf0b64705dd2ce9745e55b8f93a6aadee29f1f9d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-479.21
Realised
$56.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.2K
$194.71
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
752 shares @ 7.8¢·now 70.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$531.41
$472.63
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
71 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.62
$0.67
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$28.00
$-82.00
- NO
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
16 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.13
$0.27
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
170 shares @ 12.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.69
$-6.41
- YES
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 6.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.85
$2.05
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
10 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$0.05
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
2104 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-332.18
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?
1736 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-66.43
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.30Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.19Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?$66.00Jun 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$28.81Jun 9, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$25.00Jun 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$21.50Jun 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$10.00Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$1.00Jun 8, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$28.52Jun 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$59.00Jun 4, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$33.00Jun 4, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$42.00Jun 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$33.61Jun 2, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?$14.79May 30, 13:27 UTC
- REWARD$1.93May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$15.77May 29, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$58.85May 29, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$31.48May 29, 00:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$35.92May 25, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $25.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.