Frivolous-Matrix
0xf19d15cad681b90b8205fbe521395f376783d3fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-712.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
3061 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.4K
$-76.53
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6211 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$21.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6098 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$15.25
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12195 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$603.66
$103.67
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2782 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$418.75
$-81.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2890 shares @ 17.3¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$414.74
$-85.26
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.11
$-63.89
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.89
$-6.11
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
1073 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.19
$-39.81
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
18095 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.31Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$800.00Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.7KJun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$539.98Jun 12, 05:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$51.43Jun 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.5KJun 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$406.00Jun 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$203.78Jun 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 11, 20:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.5KJun 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.38Jun 10, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 10, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$922.57Jun 10, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.51Jun 10, 14:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$5.4KJun 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$620.02Jun 9, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $975.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.