0xf21a509bdd9152ba8d6678500f8e0f6ca61be5e6
0xf21a509bdd9152ba8d6678500f8e0f6ca61be5e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$115.30
Total PnL
$2.45
Realised
$0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
880 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.88
$2.83
- YES
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
37 shares @ 27.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.48
$0.37
- YES
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
40 shares @ 17.3¢·now 17.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.18
$0.24
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.08
$0.03
- YES
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.06
$0.03
- YES
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-15?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-15?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?
8 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.99
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.44May 15, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.75May 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 15, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.36May 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.44May 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15?$5.12May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Grau win on 2026-05-15?$2.26May 15, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$5.09May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.41May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.37May 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.94May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.83May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.42May 15, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".