Impartial-Expose
0xf230b7858a12dd308b8c498d90ff925fd751bbfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-537.10
Realised
$1.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
720 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$704.15
$26.96
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
700 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$682.50
$66.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
626 shares @ 91.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$609.91
$35.66
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
400 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$378.00
$94.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
321 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.11
$10.11
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
300 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.50
$85.50
- NO
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
214 shares @ 93.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.16
$9.16
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.50
$24.50
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.50
$14.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 88.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.10
$15.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$198.33Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.