Plain-Windage
0xf23efbcedfd607fffda3536fd038e11b148aaec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$589.10
Realised
$40.14
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
1463 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.5K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
214 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$214.00
$0.43
- OVER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
557 shares @ 21.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$175.46
$58.48
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
67 shares @ 25.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.86
$5.04
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
2 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.36
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.21
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.24
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
720 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-182.16
- NO
Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
567 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-311.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week?$194.31Apr 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week?$339.09Apr 11, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$83.52Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$226.24Apr 11, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$29.25Apr 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$29.25Apr 10, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$319.44Apr 10, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$111.54Apr 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$117.78Apr 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$118.95Apr 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$446.50Apr 7, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$247.86Mar 31, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$54.57Mar 31, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$144.84Mar 31, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$605.13Mar 30, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?$259.74Mar 29, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?$120.64Mar 29, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Impeach" or "Impeachment" on Truth Social this week?$121.50Mar 26, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Impeach" or "Impeachment" on Truth Social this week?$181.71Mar 26, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Impeach" or "Impeachment" on Truth Social this week?$171.18Mar 26, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $206.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".