Sparkling-Self
0xf257a04899b9eae3dd1c1bef0aef63184b073ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$9.4K
Total PnL
$298.42
Realised
$42.13
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
260 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.37
$45.37
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
283 shares @ 70.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.42
$30.42
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
217 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.70
$13.70
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
232 shares @ 64.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.68
$27.68
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$171.84
$21.84
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
205 shares @ 73.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.95
$6.95
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
143 shares @ 87.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.15
$16.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
133 shares @ 80.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.51
$22.16
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.24
$26.24
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
136 shares @ 74.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.07
$20.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$35.21Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 17:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$36.18Jun 7, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$36.66Jun 7, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$16.11Jun 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$30.23Jun 7, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.00Jun 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$21.76Jun 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$8.45Jun 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$65.63Jun 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$21.00Jun 7, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$21.44Jun 7, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$22.51Jun 7, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $49.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.