Light-Insect
0xf28edf6566461fb16e47daf174f5d98186e540d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$298.53
Total PnL
$-40.07
Realised
$4.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
111 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$84.76
$-0.55
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14680 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.06
$-22.02
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4825 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.19
$-2.41
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$34.22
$-1.99
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.42
$-1.04
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
934 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.02
$-0.47
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.00
$-5.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
174 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.42
$-4.63
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
229 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.11May 17, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$2.91May 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$0.09May 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill1. FC Heidenheim place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$1.51May 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill1. FC Heidenheim place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$0.51May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill1. FC Heidenheim place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$1.01May 16, 13:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$0.24May 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$0.05May 13, 07:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.60May 8, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?$0.00May 8, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".