0xf2f7a07efc40ab71e562745753d245947e82377a
0xf2f7a07efc40ab71e562745753d245947e82377a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$30.86
Total PnL
$-20.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.27
$3.27
- YES
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.56
$2.56
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$1.06
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.00Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$0.00Jun 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?$0.00Jun 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.16Jun 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$6.83Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$0.00Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.58Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?$8.52Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.49Jun 12, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$3.80Jun 12, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Raúl Jiménez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 12, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?$10.13Jun 10, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?$0.00Jun 10, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMDe'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5$0.00Jun 9, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 8?$0.00Jun 9, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raúl Jiménez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?$2.12Jun 9, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.03Jun 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.03Jun 9, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$3.03Jun 9, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.