Quizzical-Niche
0xf38694cbfb75426813131cfc8e7ec9adabdc1158
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$2.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.01
- YES
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?
114 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$9.92Apr 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.29Apr 22, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00Apr 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$97.70Apr 21, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$100.00Apr 20, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$100.02Apr 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$100.00Apr 20, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$9.98Apr 20, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.98Apr 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$8.76Apr 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.96Apr 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Apr 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.73Apr 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.06Apr 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.00Apr 14, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".