Excellent-Guideline
0xf3b5a02a547ef1987854676f1252eb8ae2bae3b4
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$8.49
Total PnL
$-58.42
Realised
$1.09
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 56.6¢·now 93.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
1 shares @ 78.1¢·now 86.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 57.7¢·now 55.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 27.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?$1.178h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.019h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0718h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0718h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0618h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0618h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0518h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$26.0518h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$19.6218h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$51.9118h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.0518h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.4918h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.4118h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$26.3618h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.0518h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.0518h ago
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewart$1.0218h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.0118h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?$1.0118h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.0318h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
