Sharp-Pannier
0xf3bcfd74304816622059fffae00f60812d9eb83e
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-402.29
Realised
$-5.48
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
416 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
210 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.29
- JOEL ÁLVAREZ
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
195 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
94 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- BOSTON BREACH
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Minor Playoffs
89 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.46
- NO
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
78 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- DANIEL BAREZ
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- RIYADH FALCONS
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
50 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.71
- CAROLINA ROYAL RAVENS
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $21.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.