Disastrous-Publishing
0xf404014fe37b6426b2adb5b0844a1d7a3e1699fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$27.30
Total PnL
$-148.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.30
$-7.70
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
50 shares @ 39.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$10.33
$-9.77
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3278 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Another US bank failure by February 28?
325 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US bank failure by February 28?$100.00Feb 1, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$1.49Jan 31, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMJapanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?$8.77Jan 31, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$106.49Jan 31, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$4.00Jan 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.31Jan 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$1.00Jan 5, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$1.00Jan 5, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$20.10Jan 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?$9.00Jan 5, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jan 5, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?$5.00Jan 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$17.00Jan 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$5.00Jan 5, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $11.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.