Gruesome-Capitulation
0xf4379537274c55e37565db471b916a10d1dada96
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.81
Total PnL
$-5.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
1 shares @ 81.5¢·now 76.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-05-22?$1.01May 13, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.01May 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw?$1.00May 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$1.01May 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$1.00May 13, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.32May 8, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-15?$1.16Apr 21, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.23Apr 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Apr 14, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?$1.00Apr 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 14, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 14, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00Apr 7, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 7, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 7, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on April 1?$0.00Apr 7, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?$3.45Apr 1, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?$0.00Mar 31, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Wizards$0.00Mar 31, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".