Smug-Appropriation
0xf49d106ad4738f959e95e404e6ca54780be9cfef
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$2.64
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
532 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-314.17
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on March 9?
446 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on March 18?
312 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
277 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-159.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
203 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on March 17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
176 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 27?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.28Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$22.95Jun 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$49.89Jun 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.87Jun 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$6.75Jun 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?$6.31Jun 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?$7.50Jun 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.93Jun 5, 17:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$4.26May 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.23May 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.49May 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.05May 8, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.06May 8, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.01May 8, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.20May 8, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.