Bowed-Font
0xf4ac302f3983a736c4eb2c3c9039467ef1a8e92d
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$49.03
Total PnL
$3.30
Realised
$1.54
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
15 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.49
$0.00
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
26 shares @ 6.5¢·now 14.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.75
$2.04
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.79
$0.79
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.992h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?$1.0214h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$3.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$2.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$10.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$5.0015h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.0115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.0415h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$3.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?$3.0215h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.0015h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.1118h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$1.2518h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.3718h ago
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.0018h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.1218h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".