Fumbling-Archeology
0xf5871429b956805007163a67254e6188297ff103
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$33.84
Total PnL
$-340.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
34 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.84
$5.84
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
323 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
29 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
24 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$28.00Jun 29, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?$12.18Jun 29, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$16.05Jun 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?$11.07Jun 10, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$310.00Jun 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?$32.79Jun 10, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$288.75Jun 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?$31.04Jun 4, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.11Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$231.00May 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$62.41May 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$133.96May 28, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$13.92May 28, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$18.06May 28, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$31.17May 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$11.07May 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$25.20May 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$130.47May 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$147.29May 17, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $51.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.