Grouchy-Sir
0xf5bc55eadedf04a34fe943f992a49f1f57937560
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$44.54
Total PnL
$-1.66
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- CANUCKS
Canucks vs. Sharks
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.95
$6.13
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
12 shares @ 46.8¢·now 77.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.20
$3.66
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.40
$0.56
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 59.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.34
$1.47
- YES
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.37
$0.33
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.19
$-3.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.13
- OVER
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$1.90
$0.21
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$0.20
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.07Jun 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00May 20, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.99May 20, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.22May 12, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.77May 1, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.20May 1, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.14Apr 28, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.03Apr 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.03Apr 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.02Apr 28, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.04Apr 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Apr 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Apr 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Apr 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.10Apr 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Apr 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.09Apr 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.09Apr 28, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.