Arid-Mangle
0xf6c215085f6d9eee361c2fbc0c5971bd6a679d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Beautiful" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1)
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1)
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.96Mar 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$4.96Mar 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$10.70Feb 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1)$3.00Feb 25, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (March 1)$2.00Feb 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$1.00Feb 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)$1.00Feb 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Feb 25, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Feb 25, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.00Feb 25, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.05Feb 25, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Feb 25, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$6.92Feb 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.24Feb 25, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".