Friendly-Paragraph
0xf6c46a6426cd7d9dde0d5c46e65dd435af4fe384
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$30.07
Total PnL
$-222.96
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.12
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 61.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.03
$-0.07
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 31.1¢·now 60.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.89
$0.92
- NO
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.84
$0.84
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 50.5¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
1 shares @ 83.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$1.24
$0.12
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$3.51Jun 9, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.00Jun 8, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?$1.00Jun 5, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$2.17Jun 5, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?$1.09Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$1.09Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?$1.20Jun 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.55May 30, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.23May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$1.02May 26, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.06May 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.13May 20, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$7.16May 20, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?$3.57May 18, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.37May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$1.02May 17, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 17, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 17, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$2.48May 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $1.09May 16, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.