Curvy-Bondsman
0xf6ef8616189460df68ac418ed2878eec0707095e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$891.41
Total PnL
$-904.28
Realised
$-10.96
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
596 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$596.00
$95.36
- NO
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
210 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$210.00
$25.20
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
70 shares @ 36.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$45.50
$20.30
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
168 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.28
$-14.28
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
88 shares @ 42.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.64
$-23.32
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.85
$2.25
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
21 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.14
$0.52
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
707 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-233.31
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
700 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-315.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 11PM ET
404 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-202.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$1.6KApr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$1.5KApr 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$113.60Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$49.60Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$0.95Apr 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$14.54Apr 12, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$15.30Apr 12, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$52.20Apr 11, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 10+ times during NYC rally?$335.58Apr 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$12.62Apr 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by June 30?$468.72Apr 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$404.20Apr 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?$184.80Apr 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by June 30?$494.76Apr 10, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$43.50Apr 10, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$28.56Apr 10, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 10+ times during NYC rally?$449.82Apr 10, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$500.64Apr 10, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLByteDance IPO before 2027?$404.60Apr 10, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLByteDance IPO before 2027?$28.90Apr 10, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $350.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".