Far-Post
0xf787b8a3a4c6990f48614a0b9af8422e3e7a1b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$28.78
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-213.83
Win rate
55%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$21.00
$-41.97
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?
24 shares @ 47.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$7.78
$-3.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?
3131 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
1313 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-143.94
- YES
Will T1 win MSI 2026?
1296 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-327.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?
1034 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-213.21
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$190.00Jul 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$6.45Jul 29, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.42Jul 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$0.28Jul 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$4.46Jul 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$14.19Jul 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$3.56Jul 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 29?$1.74Jul 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 29?$2.10Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 28?$1.41Jul 28, 19:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.11Jul 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.9KJul 26, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.00Jul 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$6.61Jul 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$526.96Jul 26, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$29.20Jul 26, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
33 closed markets, 55% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $77.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.