Far-Post
0xf787b8a3a4c6990f48614a0b9af8422e3e7a1b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-188.34
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2883 shares @ 77.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.4K
$131.21
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$191.50
$26.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$136.50
$-23.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$72.50
$-21.50
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
1313 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-143.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?
1034 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-213.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?
987 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-71.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?
920 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-674.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?
599 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-408.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?$203.59Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$6.16Jun 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$0.15Jun 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$0.50Jun 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$10.99Jun 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$2.86Jun 12, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?$6.22Jun 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on June 12?$0.00Jun 12, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 12?$75.36Jun 12, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 12?$1.00Jun 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?$0.37Jun 12, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?$1.28Jun 12, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $49.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.