0xf7d52d50ac6074ff24c3ac8afe13ca6d09715ee7
0xf7d52d50ac6074ff24c3ac8afe13ca6d09715ee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$18.37
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?
3 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$1.19Jun 20, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$1.01Jun 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.88Jun 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.03Jun 19, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.00Jun 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.83Jun 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jun 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jun 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.87Jun 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?$0.50Jun 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?$0.51Jun 19, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00Jun 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?$1.01Jun 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.88Jun 19, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.00Jun 19, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.00Jun 19, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match not air?$1.08Jun 19, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Visa" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.10Jun 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$0.57Jun 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$1.01Jun 19, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.