Short-Term-Programme
0xf8ddbf38114fbed6c5bc0ac9c6f6b0570bf6f920
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$163.87
Total PnL
$-337.13
Realised
$-14.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
500 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.25
$-1.25
- YES
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
30 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.98
$1.73
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
30 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.45
$5.85
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
190 shares @ 47.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.65
$-64.95
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
49 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.21
$-3.17
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.23
$0.63
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.10
$-0.40
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
438 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-164.08
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
400 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$20.002h ago
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$18.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$19.869h ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$20.0016h ago
- YIELD$0.0022h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$40.002d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$8.502d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$3.632d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$15.903d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$15.663d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$3.413d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.643d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$0.433d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$3.363d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$7.443d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$12.343d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$14.583d ago
- TRADESELLWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$9.803d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".