Defiant-Closing
0xf921e4779e8d3db7e1f0ca86d17e6f45cdce0ec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$123.95
Total PnL
$-20.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.74
$0.74
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.84
$1.84
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 92.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- NO
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.56
$0.56
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 86.3¢·now 90.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.48
$0.48
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.22
$0.22
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
9 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.64
$1.64
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.53
$0.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$5.01May 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$12.03May 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$7.02May 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$7.01May 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$10.03May 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.05May 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$10.02May 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$9.02May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$9.06May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$8.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$9.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?$1.71May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Sharks vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$5.75May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?$6.12May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$6.52May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$6.52May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team Heretics Academy vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season$10.05May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B$15.25May 25, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$16.21May 25, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.