Thorough-Tachometer
0xf955976daf8dce77ebd64eaa75ef63348ee6bb33
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-33.60
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
718 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$718.00
$98.37
- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
872 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$436.00
$0.00
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
419 shares @ 33.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$56.56
$-81.70
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$1.90
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.73
$1.35
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$0.46
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.05
- NO
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.10
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.00
$0.39
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 37.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.66
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.20Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$694.60Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$346.02Apr 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$212.43Apr 24, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?$132.46Apr 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$67.86Apr 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$622.05Apr 13, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$215.56Apr 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$270.48Apr 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$35.26Apr 13, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$583.84Apr 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$35.64Apr 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$225.18Apr 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$697.84Apr 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD.AI launch a token by April 30?$619.63Apr 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$6.64Apr 12, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$224.51Apr 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$500.72Apr 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$819.72Apr 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?$210.01Apr 12, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $287.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.