Calculating-Judgment
0xfa3453b0e5ed944816ee93df8c07acc073e22ccb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
5143 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-189.59
- YES
Will Alejandro Reyes win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
3959 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-238.77
- YES
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
3220 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-131.99
- FINLAND
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
2686 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-633.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
763 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-447.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
494 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-192.00
- NO
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
383 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Eric Perrot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
377 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
310 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$1.05Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.44Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$3.27Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?$2.29Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$7.86Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$9.19Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLTJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?$9.77Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.17Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11.79Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$12.14Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$12.53Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$12.22Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$12.60Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$13.07Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$13.21Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLICE shooter charged by March 31?$8.74Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$17.03Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$22.33Mar 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$31.62Mar 23, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$8.54Mar 23, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $54.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.