Sparkling-Client
0xfab61cee02832413c7f38d978cfe51f01b98e6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$37.40
Total PnL
$-292.20
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
37 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$37.40
$4.86
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
3573 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-71.46
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
2678 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-53.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
347 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-22.64
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
118 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.58
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
115 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
92 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-43.28
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$4.65May 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$0.01May 26, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$5.05May 26, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.86May 24, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.61May 24, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.16May 24, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.88May 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.38May 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3.62May 23, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$5.64May 23, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.65May 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.56May 21, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.47May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.71May 16, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$25.67May 15, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$26.10May 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$24.15May 14, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$41.28May 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$24.71May 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$29.53May 13, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.