Elementary-Wind
0xfb37669f2cb246693fdad61d1d1a5525fcb4ff74
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$255.10
Realised
$130.06
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39982 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$819.64
$82.76
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3500 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$337.75
$-45.25
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$254.00
$44.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$154.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11996 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.96
$-25.03
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$105.00
$-22.41
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.00
$25.00
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1041 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$83.26
$20.81
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$75.00
$25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$25.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$50.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.28Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.33Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.34Jun 12, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5$3.93Jun 12, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.32Jun 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.30Jun 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5$3.07Jun 12, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.12Jun 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.45Jun 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.80Jun 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.96Jun 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.36Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.03Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.41Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 12, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.