Quarterly-Nightingale
0xfba65b33e7d8f978ab92921e2a2146789bee3dc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$499.10
Total PnL
$-933.92
Realised
$-47.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
1059 shares @ 28.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.46
$-130.54
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.63
$11.63
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
114 shares @ 35.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
119 shares @ 25.1¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.49
$3.49
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.91
$1.91
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
178 shares @ 22.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.10
$-16.90
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
138 shares @ 41.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.83
$-34.17
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.24
$-1.76
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
99 shares @ 30.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.91
$-13.09
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
400 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-21.80
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.19Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$16.06Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.6KJun 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.88Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.64Jun 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.4KJun 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13.76Jun 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$848.73Jun 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.76Jun 12, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.7KJun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.59Jun 12, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.04Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$172.00Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$435.20Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $817.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.