Conscious-Holiday
0xfcd937a647e659890b3287767268dfe12b436c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$554.36
Total PnL
$-821.14
Realised
$-19.85
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UNDER
Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5
536 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$536.00
$123.28
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 45.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.32
$-11.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$0.32
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.18
$-0.48
- NO
Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
1337 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-454.58
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET
411 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-209.61
- AL NAJMAH SAUDI CLUB
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
267 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-125.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
204 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.08
- YES
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
131 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-55.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Democrat" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
113 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-19.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMillonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5$412.72Apr 23, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$30.74Apr 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$80.03Apr 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$434.60Apr 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$71.12Apr 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$658.92Apr 10, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$409.00Apr 10, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$86.80Apr 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$163.59Apr 9, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$187.13Apr 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$27.90Apr 7, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$112.05Apr 7, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$74.16Mar 30, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$99.36Mar 30, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$12.19Mar 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$140.99Mar 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$166.29Mar 29, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$146.52Mar 29, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?$14.16Mar 26, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$205.12Mar 25, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $137.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".