Tasty-Crocus
0xfd72fc8955137d99debead2728bc3811aab06cc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-186.93
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
933 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-392.04
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-645.17
- YES
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
900 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-616.83
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
776 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-655.20
- NO
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?
762 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-296.88
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-426.00
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?
600 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-456.00
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
600 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-486.00
- NO
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
600 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-462.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
550 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-225.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 1, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.08Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.69Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$5.80Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$5.99Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$6.97Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$20.25Jun 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$25.97Jun 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$38.23Jun 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$44.16Jun 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$57.65Jun 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$71.68Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?$45.97Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$97.79Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?$117.23Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?$194.95Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$192.69Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?$226.15Jun 1, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$304.46Jun 1, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?$313.35Jun 1, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $266.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 03:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.