Cooperative-Watchmaker
0xfed2088fb4e300fdf527e1fcb6d7951359b343f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$16.10
Total PnL
$-3.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will None in 2025 occur?
3 shares @ 68.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.93
$0.93
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?
1 shares @ 75.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 77.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Feb 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 6, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$1.00Jan 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Dec 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?$1.00Dec 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?$1.00Dec 11, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Nov 28, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$2.62Nov 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill None in 2025 occur?$1.00Nov 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?$1.00Nov 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Oct 30, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$1.16Oct 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Oct 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill None in 2025 occur?$1.00Sep 25, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.