Untrue-Omission
0xffb7baa0faf2474dad82052b7ba32abc8aeabf8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$52.27
Total PnL
$-36.35
Realised
$5.39
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
12 shares @ 24.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.13
$8.13
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
34 shares @ 17.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.97
$-4.03
- NO
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.85May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.07May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$6.01May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.06May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.03May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.17May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.41May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.14May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.01May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.03May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.94May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$2.02May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "President" 40+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.01May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.01May 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.50May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.67May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$1.01May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$1.00May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 18, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".