High
Verification layer
The verification layer for prediction markets.
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify before trusting the odds.
Live contextrefreshed now
Today
5 things to verify
3 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners
Momentum observation
Momentum
2Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Resolution-risk observation — settlement caveat
Verify
3Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Divergence observation
Divergence
4Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Divergence observation
Divergence
5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
53% 9.0pp
24h volume
$518.6K
Orrery Pulse25% current20-50% 7D range-25.5pp net move
55%45%35%24%14%
25%
May 3125%-25.5pp from start
May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersTop read
24h Δ 9.0pp, 1h Δ 32.0pp · Turnover 15.3× liquidity
2Open
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24h Δ -15.5pp · 1h Δ 11.5pp
3Open
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24h Δ 16.5pp · 1h Δ -6.0pp
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsUMA PENDING
High
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesUMA PENDING
High
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
High
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 91/75 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 80/81 60/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 76 | 80/80 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 36.2pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners shows a momentum pattern at 91% evidence — verify on the market.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
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