Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
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Full opportunities Resolves in 35h — verify the source
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Resolves in 35h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
23% 15.5pp
24h volume
$155.7K
Orrery Pulse23% current6-23% 7D range+12.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
23%
May 1423%+12.0pp from start
May 7May 8May 9May 10May 11May 12May 13May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Spread: Pistons (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersUMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksUMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesUMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 93/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 80/79 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 78 | 73/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 72 | 72/77 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 71 | 52/89 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 15.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election shows a momentum pattern at 93% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? resolves in 11h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
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