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Full research queue Resolves in 5h — verify the source
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UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
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MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
62% 16.0pp
24h volume
$512.0K
Orrery Pulse70% current50-84% 7D range+19.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
70%
May 1570%+19.5pp from start
May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora KrejcikovaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki MontesUMA PENDING
High
High
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Pistons vs. CavaliersEXPIRED
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Spurs vs. TimberwolvesEXPIRED
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Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 95/82 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/83 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 72 | 53/90 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 15, 2026
Read full brief - MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? probability up 16.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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