Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
63% 16.5pp
24h volume
$512.0K
Orrery Pulse50% current50-50% 7D range+0.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
50%
May 1550%+0.0pp from start
May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15May 15
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora KrejcikovaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki MontesUMA PENDING
High
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Pistons vs. CavaliersEXPIRED
—
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesEXPIRED
—
—
—
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 15, 2026
Read full brief - Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi probability up 17.0pp on $0.7M of 24h volume.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist