Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
ORRERY PRO
Prediction-market intelligence terminal
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.
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Full research queue UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
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MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
31% 3.0pp
24h volume
$300.2K
Orrery Pulse90% current50-90% 7D range+40.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
90%
May 1790%+40.0pp from start
May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
High
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsUMA PENDING
High
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsUMA PENDING
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsUMA PENDING
High
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?UMA PENDING
High
High
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsUMA PENDING
High
High
High
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5UMA PENDING
High
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 71/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 72 | 53/93 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 55/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Iran closes its airspace by May 24? probability up 10.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 71% evidence — verify on the market.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (2)
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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