Resolves in 24h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara KorpatschUMA PENDING
High
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel AltmaierUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana YastremskaUMA PENDING
High
High
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Terence AtmaneUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?UMA PENDING
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 92/87 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 82/86 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 52/90 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 65/81 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? probability down 9.3pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 92% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
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