Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
61% 21.0pp
24h volume
$382.3K
Orrery Pulse28% current22-30% 7D range+0.5pp net move
35%30%26%22%18%
28%
May 2528%+0.5pp from start
May 25May 25May 25May 25May 25May 25May 25May 25
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/77 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 91/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 25, 2026
Read full brief - Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets probability up 21.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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