Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
21% 16.0pp
24h volume
$669.7K
Orrery Pulse1% current0-14% 7D range-13.9pp net move
19%14%10%5%0%
1%
May 251%-13.9pp from start
May 24May 24May 24May 24May 25May 25May 25May 25
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 95/75 74/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 86/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 80/81 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 79 | 72/87 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 25, 2026
Read full brief - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers probability down 16.0pp on $0.7M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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