Resolves in 3h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
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MARKET PULSE
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
6% 11.0pp
24h volume
$201.4K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-54% 7D range-33.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 150%-33.5pp from start
May 8May 9May 10May 11May 12May 13May 14May 15
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon GriekspoorUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Pistons vs. CavaliersEXPIRED
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Spurs vs. TimberwolvesEXPIRED
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—
—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 91/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 54/96 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 73 | 53/94 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 15, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? probability down 11.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? shows a momentum pattern at 91% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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