Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
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Full opportunities Resolves in 34h — verify the source
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Resolves in 34h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
46% 6.0pp
24h volume
$346.3K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-84% 7D range-50.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 140%-50.0pp from start
May 11May 12May 12May 12May 13May 13May 13May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Spread: Pistons (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersUMA PENDING
High
St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesUMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 72/84 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 81/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 70/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 68/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 61/82 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 13.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 81% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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