Resolves in 42h — verify the source
Verify
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 42h — verify the source
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 89/83 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 90/87 84/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 85/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 80/79 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 80 | 67/87 96/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 13, 2026
Read full brief - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? probability down 15.6pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 90% evidence — verify on the market.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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