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Today

5 things to verify

6 observations · 32 resolution risks

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MARKET PULSE
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs RiberaLIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
90% 0.0pp
24h volume
$0
Orrery Pulse90% current50-90% 7D range+39.5pp net move
97%83%70%56%43%
90%
May 2690%+39.5pp from start
May 25May 25May 25May 25May 25May 26May 26May 26
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RESOLUTION RISK
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
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Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 26, 2026
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  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? probability down 8.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? shows a momentum pattern at 78% evidence — verify on the market.
  • LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
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