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SportsExpires Oct 5, 2026

Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Probability

77¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3902h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 38.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3902.4h

    LOW
  • 13:36Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3902h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "O 75.5" if the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Cleveland Guardians to record more than 75.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 75.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Oct 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (38.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.