2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of RBs drafted O/U 16.5
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$20.36
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 90.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 8h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.9h
- 16:04SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Over 16.5” if more than 16.5 players listed as a running back per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL are drafted during all rounds of the 2026 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under 16.5”. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many running backs have been drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Under 16.5". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).