Will Grêmio win Brazil Série A?
Probability
7¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$293.91
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5629h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 12.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5628.9h
- 15:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5629h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.2pp
to 7¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 6¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 7¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 6¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 6¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 7¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 6¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 7¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 9¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.9pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (12.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).