Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Zangar Nurlanuly
Probability
91¢
1h
+19.0pp
24h
+27.5pp
24h Vol
$28.59
Liquidity
$14.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 28pp over 24h
Now 91¢; +19.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 86¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 174.2h
Price movement
+28.0pp over the last 24h, now 91¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 52¢+1.0pp
Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Match O/U 21.5
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Edas Butvilas vs. Zangar Nurlanuly: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
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Set 1 Winner: Butvilas vs Nurlanuly
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Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Match O/U 22.5
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Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
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Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Match O/U 23.5
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Butvilas vs. Nurlanuly: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Zangar Nurlanuly in the Shymkent 2, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Zangar Nurlanuly. This market will resolve to 'Zangar Nurlanuly' if Zangar Nurlanuly advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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