Dougaz vs. Bax: Match O/U 23.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.6pp
24h
+50.4pp
24h Vol
$382.17
Liquidity
$76.2K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.6pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 50.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 156.3h
- 21:43SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 50.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 21:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+50.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Florent Bax in the Abidjan 2, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Alerts
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